Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.036990 0.040238 0.043505 0.047031 0.050724 0.054470 0.058553
2025-11-23 0.032848 0.037750 0.042836 0.048482 0.054554 0.060865 0.067899
2025-11-30 0.029503 0.035630 0.042162 0.049592 0.057758 0.066412 0.076230
2025-12-07 0.026577 0.033618 0.041315 0.050260 0.060278 0.071068 0.083487
2025-12-14 0.023846 0.031545 0.040166 0.050383 0.062021 0.074737 0.089556
2025-12-21 0.022183 0.030526 0.040063 0.051556 0.064832 0.079505 0.096777
2025-12-28 0.019661 0.028289 0.038380 0.050761 0.065276 0.081515 0.100825
2026-01-04 0.018002 0.026962 0.037657 0.050985 0.066807 0.084686 0.106126
2026-01-11 0.016785 0.026085 0.037393 0.051683 0.068831 0.088378 0.111986
2026-01-18 0.015672 0.025257 0.037121 0.052311 0.070729 0.091889 0.117614
2026-01-25 0.013601 0.023040 0.035009 0.050600 0.069755 0.091988 0.119240
2026-02-01 0.012293 0.021749 0.033991 0.050171 0.070267 0.093785 0.122801
2026-02-08 0.011127 0.020601 0.033130 0.049932 0.071024 0.095907 0.126804
2026-02-15 0.010700 0.020470 0.033586 0.051352 0.073820 0.100470 0.133703
2026-02-22 0.010191 0.020183 0.033810 0.052461 0.076225 0.104567 0.140062
2026-03-01 0.009566 0.019681 0.033713 0.053133 0.078071 0.107985 0.145614
2026-03-08 0.008802 0.018914 0.033216 0.053251 0.079200 0.110519 0.150105
2026-03-15 0.008453 0.018764 0.033555 0.054459 0.081699 0.114720 0.156597
2026-03-22 0.007499 0.017585 0.032398 0.053635 0.081584 0.115702 0.159199
2026-03-29 0.006933 0.016993 0.032045 0.053865 0.082797 0.118302 0.163748
2026-04-05 0.006549 0.016674 0.032065 0.054586 0.084631 0.121661 0.169212
2026-04-12 0.006171 0.016339 0.032043 0.055235 0.086364 0.124892 0.174524
2026-04-19 0.005209 0.014889 0.030305 0.053466 0.084906 0.124118 0.174921